How will a Trump presidency have an effect on crypto?
Earlier than Donald Trump received the U.S. election on Nov. 5, it was broadly believed amongst crypto traders {that a} Trump administration could be extra crypto-friendly than a Kamala Harris administration. This view was bolstered by Elon Musk’s public assist for Trump. The logic was easy: since Musk is a supporter of crypto—together with meme cash akin to dogecoin—this may in some way rub off on or affect how Trump views crypto.
The markets have confirmed that perception. On the night time of the U.S. election—because it turned clearer that Trump would win—the worth of bitcoin jumped about 8%, from about $69,400 to over $75,000 (figures are in U.S. {dollars}). With this transfer, bitcoin recorded a brand new all-time excessive, surpassing its March 2024 excessive of about $73,000. Within the days because the election, BTC’s value has continued to rise, and at press time was over $85,000.
Supply: Google
Maintain your horses, although; now we have but to see what a Trump presidency will actually imply for crypto laws within the U.S. And, whereas POTUS is essential in deciding what occurs with crypto, he doesn’t maintain all the playing cards. Presumably much more essential is the chairperson of the U.S. Securities and Trade Fee (SEC). That’s Gary Gensler, an MIT professor who’s educated about bitcoin and blockchain—he’s even taught a course referred to as “Blockchain and Cash.” Regardless of this, although, Gensler has been broadly thought-about to be hawkish on crypto throughout his tenure main the SEC, since June 2021. The query for traders is: With Trump in workplace, will Gensler be allowed to finish his time period till June 2026? And if he’s changed, will the brand new chairperson be extra crypto-friendly?
Given these uncertainties, one other rationalization for the BTC value soar is the inflationary expectations that accompany the Trump presidency. Trump brings with him the prospect of tariff wars with key U.S. buying and selling companions akin to China. When tariffs on imported items rise, the overall price of these merchandise rises for customers as nicely. In different phrases, inflation rises. And, as defined in our earlier column, increased inflation might result in increased crypto costs.
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Bitcoin hits $100,000
On Oct. 29, 2024, BTC touched $100,000… Canadian {dollars}.
Canadians typically observe crypto costs in U.S. {dollars}, and rightly so, since that issues essentially the most within the crypto market. Nevertheless, per week in the past, the worth of BTC reached the essential milestone of $100,000.
Does this actually matter? Solely a bit of bit.
